Covid-19 Cases In The Month of October


First things first!

Looks like my calculations for the month of September were almost on point.

According to my calculations, I predicted India would record somewhere between 2.35 to 2.8million cases. I had also stated that the increase in number of cases in India would be somewhere around 2.67 million.

At the end of the month, India recorded 2,622,328 cases. It most certainly would have been 2.67 had India not decided to slash the daily number of tests for the last 3 days.

And based on a completely absurd theory that I had, I predicted that North and south America would record 2 to 2.4 million cases.

Brazil and US, the two most highly affected countries in North and South America, recorded 2,073,621 cases.

All other countries in the two continents also saw an on and off decrease in number of cases.

And the global figures, which I assumed would increase by 8.3 to 8.65 million, ended up with an increase of 8,439,324.

And now, for the month of October!

The same rate of increase should not continue anymore. But given the ignorance and the dire need of Governments to put a cap on infections for some illogical reason, I don’t expect the real numbers to come up anytime soon. At least not before a few million die.

So, if India continues to keep testing at the same rate as it was at the beginning of September, India should record somewhere around 3.2 to 3.45 million cases.

But if India drops the testing rate as it did at the end of September, India will end up with 2.73 to 3 million cases at most.

And if we further factor in the promises the government and Health Minister have made, the number of cases may even drop down to under 2 million.

And all the recoveries that India is recording, will soon comeback to haunt them. It would be quite fascinating.

And as for Brazil and USA; they should keep continuing on the same growth pattern for the better part of this month. Eventually, in the next 31 days, Brazil and USA should record another 2.2 to 2.8 million cases.

The entire North and South America should witness an increase of close to 4 million.

Asia should record cases in excess of 4.3 million under normal circumstances. But if India lowers the testing rate, the total number of cases should stay below 3.2 million this month.

European countries should also hold the increase in number of cases they have been experiencing for the past few days and should end up recording somewhere between 2.5 to 3.8 million cases.

Global Figures should see an increase of at least 8.75 to 8.95 million cases this month if every country holds to their increased testing rate.

The increase in number of Global Infections might probably cross the 10 million mark in a single month.

Recorded deaths all across the globe should increase by another 160,000 to 190,000.

The actual numbers will continue to remain an illusion until the governments reach the stage of acceptance and can understand the complexity and gravity of the situation.

Theoretically, it would be completely acceptable to assume that every month, at least 1.4 million people are dying because of the pandemic, both directly and indirectly.

You can believe what you want. Governments can believe what they want. But the fact remains, beliefs don’t do anyone any good.

Beliefs merely create illusions. Illusions of what you want to be true. Illusions of what makes you feel happy and safe. But beliefs never were and will never be the reality.

P.S. Even my absurd theories are far better than the best theories the governments and organizations have been able to come up with until now.

Categories: science, World

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13 replies

  1. They currently reopening everything here… (United States) and have reopened schools too – my daughter remains on distance learning because there is no way I am sending her into death like that.

    We are predicted to possibly see another 200,000 by the end of the year…

    Which would put our year end total at 400,000 deaths for 2020.

    They are idiots … they so worried about an economy… they just let whatever happens happen, without concern of preventing deaths. It’s frustrating – I understand the economy, I get that… but you won’t have an economy without people.

    Not to mention, I also do not believe their totals – I think cases are way higher … some aren’t even tested and just spreads it around – our testing sucks! I don’t trust what they say

    And then we keep having protests and it’s just bleh… it just comes down to “do you feel lucky”?

    I think some are just frustrated because we are all struggling and fed up. I don’t think people care and also do not realize the extent of the danger.

    They will even be opening my mothers care facility 😮😮😮 I am terrified of that! My hands are tied, they are just going to do that… so I know I’m going to lose her anyway… but it does strike fear in me.

    No one cares now ☹️💔

    You are totally right on the money with saying “beliefs”

    Beliefs are not a reality… they are kind of illusions – or what we tell ourselves to feel better. ☹️

    Like

  2. Ahhhh covid….. So over it. Back in the hospital tomorrow for an arvo shift. Hopefully covid free.

    Thanks for sharing your thoughts 😊

    Like

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