So now, for the month of June.
If last month’s pattern and rate of increase were to follow for the next 30 days, India will record 334,000 cases in the month of June.
Considering India’s testing rate and a few stupid testing guidelines under which only the patients with every symptom in the book are considered to be eligible for a test, and if we factor in the rate at which the rate of increase is ascending, mathematically, India should record a minimum of 550,000 cases.
The coming week will certainly see a rise in number of cases in the states of Punjab and Haryana.
Also, 6th June onwards, there should be a sudden spike in number of cases in the states of Maharashtra, Gujarat, Daman and Diu, Goa, Karnataka, Dadra and Nagar Haveli, Madhya Pradesh and Uttar Pradesh.
Further, by the 10th of this month, India should start recording around 11,000 cases per day with an increase in numbers in the currently less affected states like Himachal and few others in the North.
By the last week of this month, India should probably start touching 23,000-28,000 mark or above.
This should all hold if the testing rate remains the same as it is today.
Any increase in testing rate should most certainly take the number of cases to around 750,000-800,000.
Also, if the Indian government somehow happens to revise its guidelines regarding the eligibility for being tested, it would also increase the number of cases substantially.
Regardless of what will be or what will not be, if the current pattern, scenario and guidelines continue, India should have a minimum of 550,000 cases in the next 30 days.
And following the same pattern, if we talk about the world, Nations like Mexico, Chile, Pakistan, etc. should also witness a rise in numbers.
While Brazil, USA and Russia should continue going at the same pace, other countries like the ones mentioned above and few others like Bangladesh, South Africa, Oman, Nepal etc. should also see an increase in numbers as compared to the previous month.
All in all, the global numbers should cross 10 million by the end of this month.