Lockdown and all its guidelines have acted as a potent social vaccine. Dr Harsh Vardhan, Union health minister 17:00 (IST), MAY 24
If the doubling rate in India before the lockdown was between 3-4 days, today the doubling rate is more than 13-days: Dr Harsh Vardhan 16:59 (IST), MAY 24
Dr. Harsh Vardhan, I just have one question for you. Were you taught in school that you can compare a child turning 14 days old from 7 and say he has a doubling rate of 7 days to someone turning 32 years old who once was 16 and say that his age is doubling much slower than the child’s?
And which lockdown are you exactly referring to? The lockdown that is currently in motion is nowhere near to what one can call a “LOCKDOWN”.
You really have no regard for Mathematics. Do you? For you, it seems to be like Mathematics has no rules, no formulas; just put in whatever you want and calculate however you wish to! Such higher level of intellect. Even Walter O’Brien would start feeling inferior.
How do you manage to do it Dr.? I mean, where did you acquire these mathematical skills? At Modi-Trump University?
In some countries when the situation went out of control they took the decision of lockdown & in most places it was a partial lockdown: Dr Harsh Vardhan
In India, when the situation is starting to go out of control, the governments are taking decisions to re-open states and resume buses, trains, etc.
That makes a lot of sense. Doesn’t it?
Categories: india
Damn… I love your blogs for the sheer straight-forwardedness and sarcasm and the brutal honesty 😅. Loved it.
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Someone needs to underline the truth and reality.
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Doubling rate is nothing but a ploy to lift lockdown. They might be repenting now for imposing lockdown in the first place.
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These people don’t repent anything.
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So wise to pen your thoughts bravely! 👏 Some dare not to!
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That is why world is messed up.
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That’s so true!
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Interesting – what do you think of the argument that things can’t stay closed for too many months due to the effect that will have?
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Which things?
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The fact that people are getting depressed stuck at home and the fact that economies are being destroyed causing people to have a lot of financial problems – I don’t think personally re-opening should be “rushed” but what about those things?
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Those things can be built again like the way they were before they existed.
People being stuck at home isn’t something that is choice-based.
If they want to go out, they should and get infected. Who cares.
But if they are interested in having a life, then better stay put.
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I’m not sure that answers the question.
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If you put your brain at work, it will.
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If your concern is with lives, then lives will be destroyed if everything stays closed indefinitely too – which is worse is the question.
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If everything is shut down, the only people who’ll suffer will be the ones who lackental stabiloty to be able to cope up with the situation.
In the other case, everyone will be put at risk.
The theory of greater good dictates, it is better to lose maybe 200 million people instaed of 7 billion.
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So when should things re-open and in what increments?
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Not until we can be sure of its pattern and trajectory.
Regardless, if states want to open, they should go ahead. But then they should also be prepared for the chaos that’ll follow.
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That makes sense.
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Problem is, governments wants to fight something so complex and they fear getting the services of those who might be the only chance we have at fighting this.
Until now, every pattern, every number I predicted regarding covid 19 has proved to be right.
Now one can argue it was a fluke, but 10 flukes out of 10? Worth a risk, I suppose.
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I know you don’t like dealing with people, but perhaps you should consider being in the public sphere and helping organizations with decision-making on matters like this in a professional capacity.
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Have been sending exact patterns, trajectories, possible future hotspots to organizations everyday.
But people here are still of the opinion that we have controlled the pandemic and have limited its effect.
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That is frustrating. I’m glad you are trying though.
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I love being right.
I am just laying the foundation so that tomorrow I can say, “I told you so”.
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The manner in which points are communicated makes a difference I believe.
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I really don’t care.
All I care about is giving theories.
If I am wrong, fine.
If I am right, great.
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If you are doing the mental work to create the theories then you want to share them with someone or something.. in order to do that I think it helps to communicate respectfully with people. Otherwise your theories will stay with you. Just my opinion.
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Science is about facts. Either you are right or wrong.
Respect has nothing to do with the truth.
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Science is irrelevant unless it applies to Earth and its people. Therefore, makes sense to pay some attention to Earth and its people.
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“Attention” being the operative word.
I am paying a heck lot of attention to what’s happening.
My paper shows it.
Many other posts here show that too.
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Agree – but attention to how your thoughts are communicated will help you in my opinion. Not just observational attention.
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I am supposed to work and observe and theorize.
Not to communicate and be respectful just so someone agrees to my theory.
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Your theory does not mean anything by itself. It needs to be put into use or discussed. That’s where speaking respectfully and with understanding of other people will help you and your theories in my opinion.
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Well, I have never been respectful to anyone in that way. Has worked pretty well for me until now.
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Perhaps your results would have been even better.
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Didn’t really want a Phd at the age of 12.
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Why did you get it then?
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I said I didn’t want it at 12.
Got it at 21. Results have been great.
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Perhaps your scientific or career results. What about the rest?
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I don’t care about the rest.
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OK 🙂 I would reconsider that.
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And I pay attention to everything. That is my natural state.
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You put across your points very well. Love what you wrote.
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Thank you.
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Well, i feel the entire nation has failed not only ruling party or authorities or warriors. Did we as citizens show discipline to follow lockdown as it was required to? People had that “nothing can happen” attitude when the lockdown began. We are invincible, belief many carry. Why lockdown was successful in China because there equal citizen participation, may be by force, which is absolutely impossible here.
As soon as lockdown progressed there was a clamour from opposition and biased media
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Well, you can’t say all the citizens didn’t do what was required.
But you can say all the politiicians didn’t do what was required.
You see the difference there?
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I see the difference. But let me tell you citizens have also failed miserably. Atleast that is what i see in my city of Ahmedabad. Complete carelessness. Political class, irrespective of parties are never to be trusted to do what is best for the country. We are observing it since 1947. And hence people need to be more vigilant.
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And I have mentioned that too in the post “So much for social distancing”.
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Neither do I support any political party nor the highly intellectual citizens of our country who brought one such stupid party into power.
I write the truth.
The ground reality.
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Highly intellectual elite citizens of the country has not brought this party in power. It is common citizens of the country who voted for them. Elites always felt comfortable with INC as they belong to same strata of the society. At the end there is nothing to choose between either. All are here to loot the country, sadly so.
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Sorry pressed enter without finishing my comments.
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