This is going to be a rather long read. So, stay with me and be patient.
This is a part of the recent research paper I published and shared with a few institutions and journals like IJSER.
Observations and Hypotheses
Dr. Prithvidev Kamboj
Everyone who has studied any branch of science to a level to be informed enough, knows that there are millions or even billions of bacterias, parasites and viruses buried under the glaciers for centuires. These are nothing like what we have known, studied and diagnosed to a point to be able to develop vaccines for them.
Covid-19 seems to be one such virus. Now, some might call it a co-incidence, but being a scientist, I would very boldly say, there are no co-incidences. Only science.
At the end of September, an iceberg, almost as big as Scotland’s Isle of Skye, weighing over 315 billion tonnes, broke off the Antarctica at 90 degees east latitude. That happens to be straight under Bangladesh, with Malaysia and Indonesia along the way.
Now, we all know that the virus is believed to have been started in the Wuhan Province of China. But, what if we are wrong? What if we have been looking at it the wrong way all this while? What if it never started in China?
The iceberg that broke off the Antarctic was big enough to not melt at a fast rate. So, it is very obvious, that after having being broken apart at the end of September, it might have started melting by the second or third week of October. And an iceberg as big as that doesn’t travel across the sea very fast.
Given it’s size and weight, it might have reached near the equator only around 15-20 days after it broke off and then started flowing further. And then it started melting into the sea and releasing all it had buried inside. We were very sure about the fact that it had nutrients buried inside. But what if it also had a virus? Or viruses!
Melting from around the equator, going past the countries of Malaysia, Indonesia, etc. it spread all its contents into the sea, slowly and gradually.
Now, anything that enters the sea, remains there for years. But something as small as virus, can flow with the air (affected by turbulence), reach ground levels flowing with the water, through sea, rivers and underground water resources.
All we know is, China was the first country to have been hit hard by the virus; the first country who actually diagnosed what it was. Italy had similar cases in November, but they thought it was just some weird kind of pneumonia. What if it hit Malaysia and Indonesia earlier? With the kind of medical system those countries have, it is very possible that it might have gone undiagnosed there. Also that for some reason it didn’t really spread that fast and wide there.
It would have spread at a very high rate in Bangladesh and the entire Indian and Pakistan coastline, but wasn’t detected sooner because of low-testing rate and also the policy of “Ignorance is Bliss”.
At the moment, if you look at the graph, all the states and countries that are near the sea are worst hit by the virus.
New York – 315,000
Turkey – 126,045
Iran – 97,424
Maharashtra – 12,974
Bangladesh (9455 from 150 on April 2) is seeing an increase in cases
France – 168,693
Italy – 210,717
United Kingdom – 186,599
Germany – 165,383
Pakistan – 20,084 (as increased case count recently)
Brazil – 97,929
Mexico – 22,088
Ireland – 21,506
Ecuador (from 11,183 on April 23 to 26,366 on May 1) etc.
In Russia, the number of cases started escalating slowly and now are increasing at a very rapid rate. With time, the iceberg started melting into larger water bodies, occupying more area in them and then seeping into the underground water resources and rivers. This hypotheses can be proved by the fact that out of 134,697 cases recorded in Russia by the 3rd of May, over 60,000 were recorded in Moscow, the city located on the Volga river with a population of almost 16 million.
Volga river is the largest river in Russia with a basin size of 530,000 sq. miles and flows through major Russian cities, included the most populated, Moscow. Now, the only logical reason why Russia started experiencing a growth in number of cases of Covid-19 much later than some other nearby countries has to be the fact that most of Russian population lives away from the sea near the Volga River which is far inside Russia.
Even in the US, the first case was recorded in Washington, where a man who returned from Wuhan was found positive. Now, some may argue that he might have been a pre-carrier. But there is no way for one man to have spread the virus across 50 states within 45 days.
Even for India, the first few states recorded to have been hit hard by the Covid-19 were those near the coast (exceptions were states like Punjab, Rajasthan, Delhi and UP; but they had travelers coming in from various place and moreover, they weren’t hit that hard in the beginning).
Now I don’t have the exact figures and patterns of how it started in those countries. But I am very sure, that it started from cities near the coastline and then spread inwards. It is the only possible and visible pattern.
The only country surrounded by sea which is not being hit so badly, is Japan. It might have something to do with the 6.4 magnitude earthquake that struck off the east coast of Japan on the 20th of April. It possibly might have moved the water waves in a certain direction, thus decreasing the effect of Covid-19 containing air rising from the sea.
This is the only plausible theory at the moment about how the virus might have started.
The theory of it having originated from a lab in China is bollocks!
If Chinese had the brain power to make something as complex as Covid-19 with so many variations and mutations at genetic levels, they would have successfully teleported a human being into space by now.
Assuming that 2% of the 315 billion tonne iceberg comprised of Covid-19 corona virus strand, that amount to 630 million tonnes. Now, under no circumstances is it going to just evaporate or slip into the unknown all of a sudden.
And given the fact that it has been inconsistent and doesn’t really seem to be something that follows a certain pattern while flowing with the water to a general observer, that is because of the fact, waves don’t flow in any pattern. The only way we could actually study and determine the pattern of waves is by solving the Navier-Stokes equation in 3-dimensional space which we haven’t been able to do in the past 150 years.
Our best bet at determining its trajectory and extent would be to study all the undersea activities and formation of waves and winds since the day the iceberg broke off.
Concluding my observations and hypothesis, I would say, we should expect every landlocked state, city and country to be hit by the virus starting from 3rd week of this month, especially South-East Asia. And the countries that haven’t experienced the wrath of the virus yet (some because it hasn’t really hit those countries, and some because… “Ignorance is Bliss“) should be prepared for a vast and life-threatening spread of Covid-19.
P.S. If you have any questions, feel free to ask. I will provide much further and wider understanding with proper numbers soon.
These are just the observations I have made from the little data I had. There is a possibility I might be slightly wrong, or maybe, completely wrong. But it is my job to make observations and devise theories.